The 2023/2024 EPL race is extremely tight at the moment, with a three-horse race currently playing out between defending champions Manchester City, Liverpool and Arsenal. At the time of writing, Arsenal is the log leader with 77 points, Liverpool is 2nd with 74 points and Man City is 3rd with 73 points (but with 2 games in hand over Arsenal).
We’ve had quite a few tight EPL races before, and this one is set to be another one that’s nearly too close to call. To give you a bit more insight into how tight this race is, we’re here to offer you a little bit of insight into the state of the race, and which of these 3 teams is looking the most likely to capture the title:
Arsenal:
Current Position: 1st
Current Points (77 points) (+56 goa; difference)
Current Postion:1st
Games remaining: Tottenham (A), Bournemouth (H), Manchester United (A), Everton (H)
After smashing Chelsea 5-0, Arsenal is looking good again for the title after a shock defeat at home to Aston Villa seemed to derail their season. Wirth Mikel Arteta at the helm, as well as world-class players such as Bukayo Saka, Declan Rice and Martin Odegaard, this could still be Arsenal’s season, despite the team's recent slip-up. While Man City has more depth and experience, Arsenal do possess real quality and is likely to take it down to the final game of the season. However, they will face an uphill battle as they have to play two strong teams, Spurs and United, away from home.
Liverpool
Current position: 2nd
Current points: 74 points (+40 goal difference)
Games remaining: West Ham (A), Tottenham (H), Aston Villa (A), Wolves (H)
Predicted points: 85 points
Liverpool’s quest to repeat its 2020/2021 EPL has stumbled somewhat of late, with a recent away loss to Everton seriously denting their title ambitions. Despite this setback, the team’s remaining matches are not too hard, and their toughest fixtures will be at home to Spurs and away to Aston Villa. Should the injury concerns subside, with the trio of Alisson, Alexander-Arnold and Jota slotting back into the starting lineup, it will allow manager Jurgen Klopp to start dreaming of a perfect ending to his Liverpool career. Now, however, he will have to hope for other results to go Liverpool's way.
Liverpool’s X-factor will be the Klopp factor, with his players having reacted superbly to his intention to leave at the end of the season, and they seem determined to give him a trophy-laden send-off.
Manchester City
Current position: 3rd
Current points: 73 points (+44 goal difference)
Games remaining: Brighton (A), Nottingham Forest (A), Wolves (H), Fulham (A), Tottenham (A), West Ham (H)
The 3-time defending champions are still poised to make it 4 titles in a row, as they have 2 games in hand over log leaders Arsenal, despite being 4 points behind, arguably. City has the easiest run-in- of the 3 teams as well, with the only real tough prospect being the away match against Spurs. Further, while City still looks susceptible on the counterattack and star striker Erling Haaland hasn’t been quite as clinical as last season, the team still looks in imperious form and seems to have peaked at the right time. City could very well win their final six games to become champions again.
Who is the favourite to win the title?
With recent experience as winners and the pedigree to match, there’s no doubt that Manchester City is still the favourite to win the title, despite the close nature of the race. Pep Guardiola’s team seem to be hitting top form at the perfect time, and the title race is in its hands. City will have to make sure that it expertly rotates players down the home stretch, but they have the experience of winning to draw on in these kinds of situations.
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